Russian rouble at highest level against dollar since July

A cashier displays Russian rouble banknotes taken from a cash register at a local grocery store in Stavropol, southern Russia. Photo: Reuters

A cashier displays Russian rouble banknotes taken from a cash register at a local grocery store in Stavropol, southern Russia. Photo: Reuters

Published Nov 15, 2023

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The Russian rouble soared to a 3-1/2 month high against the dollar on Tuesday, buoyed by exporters’ foreign currency sales, high interest rates and recovering oil prices.

By 2.30pm GMT, the rouble was 1% stronger against the dollar at 90.74, its strongest point since July 28.

It was steady at 98.09 versus the euro and had firmed 0.6% against the yuan to 12.47.

Month-end tax payments usually prompt exporters to convert foreign exchange revenue to pay domestic liabilities. The rouble has also been buoyed lately by a presidential decree requiring some exporters to convert a significant portion of forex revenue.

The Russian currency has strengthened from beyond 100 to the dollar since that decree was announced last month. The central bank’s bigger than expected interest rate increase to 15% in late October has also helped.

The rouble’s ascent since early October had reflected the stable supply of FX since then and shown that the currency could appreciate without tax period support, said Veles Capital’s head of banking and money market analysis, Yuri Kravchenko.

“We do not rule out that in these conditions, investors’ appetite for rouble risk may expand and the November tax period will be used for the rouble to strengthen in the 90–91 region to the dollar,” Kravchenko said.

Brent Crude oil, a global benchmark for Russia’s main export, was up 0.7% at $83.12 (R1 573) a barrel. High prices for oil in September and October are still supporting the rouble now.

REUTERS